Each major corporation across the NATO military-industrial complex can – if they adapt – retain their current share of jobs and revenue. Each legislator in each Parliament or Congress will retain their current share of jobs and revenue. Transformation is achievable – both politically and financially – if all stakeholders hold fast to one fundamental precept: that it should be job and revenue neutral across all sub-state political boundaries. By recognizing that there are four threat classes, each of which needs a different NATO type command (Big War, Special Operations / Low Intensity Conflict, Peace including Diplomacy & Development, Homeland including Cyber), this paper shows how NATO can achieve four times more impact by 2040. While focusing on intelligence – the assigned topic – the paper’s greatest value to NATO is in making the case for the need to diversify the NATO force structure. NATO can be greater than the sum of its parts. This white paper outlines how Intelligence (Decision-Support) can help the NATO transform itself from a reactive conventional military instrument of the Member States and instead become a central unifying strategic force for waging peace, achieving prosperity, and ending war in all its forms. Second, but not yet understood by most, and certainly not codified into any kind of formula that could lead to the transformation – and the expansion of NATO – is the matter of adapting to a complex world in which most of the threats are not military, and all of the threats require Whole of Government (WoG) planning, programming, budgeting, and execution (PPBE) both within and among each of its Member States. NATO benefits from President Trump’s demand for rebalancing in two substantial ways:įirst, each of the other Member States is now being held to their obligations with respect to percentages of their national budget that should be allocated to military needs, inclusive of NATO. Trump is potentially the best thing that could have happened if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is to “rebalance” and transform, reaching 2040 with four major force configurations, having four times more impact. It may be counterintuitive, but the Presidency of Donald J. 29Īppendix C: NATO Intelligence in Public Health Emergencies. 20Īppendix A: 4 Threat Classes, 4 Type Commands, 4X the Impact 22Īppendix B: Notional View of a NATO Peace Command. – Four Levels of Multinational Intelligence (Decision-Support) 17īlack Swans, Gray Swans, & White Swans. – ACT as a Pilot Project for Multinational Intelligence (Decision-Support) 16 – Return on Investment (ROI) & True Cost Economics (TCE) 15 – Embracing Open Sources as the All-Source Foundation.
Transforming Intelligence to Transform NATO. – Level of Analysis Threat Distinctions – A Vital Refinement 12 – Military- Geographic-Civil Collection & Analysis Model 11 – Whole Earth Collection & Analysis Model 10 6Ĭontext for Transforming Intelligence: Holistic Awareness. Intelligence (Decision-Support) – Intelligence Done Right 4
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Table of Contents, Foreword, & PDF Below the Fold Intelligence (Decision-Support) as Root for Transformation
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